Today / Poland - II Liga - East / Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice

Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 17:30

Sandecja Nowy Sącz

PPG 1.36 · HOME

UPCOMING

Chojniczanka Chojnice

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-110.6%0-25.0%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.0%1-113.2%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.7%2-18.2%2-23.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.6%3-13.4%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.4%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.1% 46.5% 2.15 -3.0%

Draw 28.1% 32.3% 3.10 -7.7%

Away win 26.8% 34.7% 2.88 -13.7%

Over 2.5 45.7% 54.1% 1.85 -15.4%

Over 3.5 26.0% 33.3% 3.00 -13.2%

BTTS 49.2% 60.6% 1.65 -18.8%

Home O1.5 34.0% 44.4% 2.25 -23.5%

Away O1.5 27.3% 42.0% 2.38 -21.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.2%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 11.2%

#3 1–0 14.0%

#4 2–0 8.7%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandecja Nowy Sącz1.2

Chojniczanka Chojnice0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDECJA NOWY SĄCZ · PPG 1.36

CHOJNICZANKA CHOJNICE · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.31, combined xG 2.19 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sandecja Nowy Sącz (H) 45.1%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -3.0%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -7.7%

Chojniczanka Chojnice (A) 26.8%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -13.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandecja Nowy Sącz face Chojniczanka Chojnice in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandecja Nowy Sącz a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Chojniczanka Chojnice 27%, so Sandecja Nowy Sącz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz and 0.9 for Chojniczanka Chojnice (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandecja Nowy Sącz are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.56 for Chojniczanka Chojnice. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +6.0%.

Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

More Poland - II Liga - East Predictions