Today / Wales - FAW Championship / Rhyl vs Guilsfield

Rhyl vs Guilsfield Prediction— Wales - FAW Championship

North - 1 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:30

Rhyl logo
Rhyl
PPG 1.74 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Guilsfield logo
Guilsfield
PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-15.0%0-23.5%0-31.7%0-4+0.8%1 1-06.8%1-19.6%1-26.8%1-33.2%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.6%2-19.3%2-26.6%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.2%3-16.0%3-24.2%3-32.0%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-14.5%4+-23.2%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 50.0%
Draw 22.4%
Away win 27.6%
Over 2.5 63.6%
Over 3.5 40.6%
BTTS 62.4%
Home O1.5 53.6%
Away O1.5 43.7%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob62.4%

H 50% / xG 1.9-1.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%
#2 2–1 9.3%
#3 1–2 6.8%
#4 2–2 6.6%
#5 2–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rhyl1.9
Guilsfield1.4

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%

Form & verdict PPG

RHYL · PPG 1.74

GUILSFIELD · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.52 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Rhyl (H) 50.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Guilsfield (A) 27.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rhyl face Guilsfield in Wales - FAW Championship on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rhyl a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Guilsfield 28%, so Rhyl are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Rhyl and 1.4 for Guilsfield (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rhyl are averaging 1.74 points per game versus 1.17 for Guilsfield.

PredictVantage

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