Today / Wales - FAW Championship / Mold Alexandra vs Caersws
Mold Alexandra vs Caersws Prediction— Wales - FAW Championship
North - 1 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:30
// Model verdict
BTTS
xG gap +0.55 - moderate Home edge
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 50% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.8%
Form & verdict
MOLD ALEXANDRA · PPG 1.35
CAERSWS · PPG 1.09
xG gap +0.55 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Mold Alexandra face Caersws in Wales - FAW Championship on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mold Alexandra a 50% chance, the draw 24% and Caersws 26%, so Mold Alexandra are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Mold Alexandra and 1.2 for Caersws (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mold Alexandra are averaging 1.35 points per game versus 1.09 for Caersws.