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Qviding FIF vs Astrio Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland - 15 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 10:00

Qviding FIF

PPG 1.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Astrio

PPG 0.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.0% vs bookmaker-implied 79.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-12.7%0-21.4%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-06.5%1-17.0%1-23.8%1-31.4%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.5%2-19.2%2-24.9%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.4%3-18.0%3-24.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-09.1%4+-19.8%4+-25.3%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.3% 67.1% 1.49 -10.2%

Draw 19.8% 23.8% 4.20 -10.1%

Away win 19.9% 22.7% 4.40 -7.5%

Over 2.5 67.0% 79.4% 1.26 -15.6%

Over 3.5 44.8% 60.2% 1.66 -25.6%

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 64.0% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 39%

ROI 35.4%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob62.1%

H 60% / xG 2.6-1.1 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.2%

#2 2–0 8.5%

#3 1–1 7.0%

#4 3–1 8.0%

#5 3–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Qviding FIF2.6

Astrio1.1

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

QVIDING FIF · PPG 1.14

ASTRIO · PPG 0.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.54 for Home, form 1.14 vs 0.29 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Qviding FIF (H) 60.3%

ODDS 1.49 · IMPLIED 67.1% EV -10.2%

Draw 19.8%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -10.1%

Astrio (A) 19.9%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -7.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Qviding FIF face Astrio in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Qviding FIF a 60% chance, the draw 20% and Astrio 20%, so Qviding FIF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Qviding FIF and 1.1 for Astrio (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Qviding FIF are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.29 for Astrio.

Qviding FIF vs Astrio Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland Predictions