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Sydney Olympic U20 vs APIA Leichhardt U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 04:00

Sydney Olympic U20

PPG 0.18 · HOME

UPCOMING

APIA Leichhardt U20

PPG 2.42 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -2.48 for Away, form 0.18 vs 2.42

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-17.8%0-211.9%0-312.3%0-4+20.3%1 1-01.5%1-14.7%1-27.2%1-37.4%1-4+12.2%2 2-00.5%2-11.4%2-22.2%2-32.2%2-4+3.7%3 3-00.1%3-10.3%3-20.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.8% — — —

Draw 17.2% — — —

Away win 70.1% — — —

Over 2.5 66.7% — — —

Over 3.5 44.7% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 70.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 63%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)3.1 BTTS prob48.7%

A 70% / xG 0.6-3.1 / O2.5 67% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 12.3%

#2 0–2 11.9%

#3 0–4 9.4%

#4 1–3 7.4%

#5 1–2 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sydney Olympic U200.6

APIA Leichhardt U203.1

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.7% · O3.5 PROB 44.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SYDNEY OLYMPIC U20 · PPG 0.18

APIA LEICHHARDT U20 · PPG 2.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.48 for Away, form 0.18 vs 2.42

Win probability 1X2

Sydney Olympic U20 (H) 12.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

APIA Leichhardt U20 (A) 70.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sydney Olympic U20 face APIA Leichhardt U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sydney Olympic U20 a 13% chance, the draw 17% and APIA Leichhardt U20 70%, so APIA Leichhardt U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Sydney Olympic U20 and 3.1 for APIA Leichhardt U20 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sydney Olympic U20 are averaging 0.18 points per game versus 2.42 for APIA Leichhardt U20.

Sydney Olympic U20 vs APIA Leichhardt U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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