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Marconi S. U20 vs St. George City U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 03:00

Marconi S. U20

PPG 2.08 · HOME

UPCOMING

St. George City U20

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-12.9%0-21.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-06.9%1-17.3%1-23.9%1-31.4%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.7%2-19.3%2-25.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.4%3-17.9%3-24.2%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-08.7%4+-19.3%4+-24.9%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.8% — — —

Draw 19.2% — — —

Away win 17.9% — — —

Over 2.5 65.9% — — —

Over 3.5 43.4% — — —

BTTS 60.0% — — —

Home O1.5 64.0% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob60.0%

H 63% / xG 2.5-1.1 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.3%

#2 2–0 8.7%

#3 1–1 7.3%

#4 3–1 7.9%

#5 3–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Marconi S. U202.5

St. George City U201.1

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 43.4%

Form & verdict PPG

MARCONI S. U20 · PPG 2.08

ST. GEORGE CITY U20 · PPG 1.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.48 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Marconi S. U20 (H) 62.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

St. George City U20 (A) 17.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Marconi S. U20 face St. George City U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Marconi S. U20 a 63% chance, the draw 19% and St. George City U20 18%, so Marconi S. U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Marconi S. U20 and 1.1 for St. George City U20 (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Marconi S. U20 are averaging 2.08 points per game versus 1.09 for St. George City U20.

Marconi S. U20 vs St. George City U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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