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Rockdale Ilinden U20 vs Manly Utd U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 03:00

Rockdale Ilinden U20

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Manly Utd U20

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-16.9%0-27.1%0-34.8%0-4+3.9%1 1-04.6%1-19.3%1-29.5%1-36.4%1-4+5.2%2 2-03.1%2-16.3%2-26.4%2-34.3%2-4+3.5%3 3-01.4%3-12.8%3-22.9%3-31.9%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.3%4+-21.3%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.7% — — —

Draw 21.5% — — —

Away win 49.8% — — —

Over 2.5 64.4% — — —

Over 3.5 42.8% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 50.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 38%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob63.5%

A 50% / xG 1.3-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 0–2 7.1%

#4 1–3 6.4%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rockdale Ilinden U201.3

Manly Utd U202.0

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.4% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ROCKDALE ILINDEN U20 · PPG 1.33

MANLY UTD U20 · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.69 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Rockdale Ilinden U20 (H) 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Manly Utd U20 (A) 49.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rockdale Ilinden U20 face Manly Utd U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rockdale Ilinden U20 a 29% chance, the draw 22% and Manly Utd U20 50%, so Manly Utd U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Rockdale Ilinden U20 and 2.0 for Manly Utd U20 (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rockdale Ilinden U20 are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.33 for Manly Utd U20.

Rockdale Ilinden U20 vs Manly Utd U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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