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Resistencia vs Tacuary Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Regular Season - 17 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00

Resistencia

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tacuary

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-18.9%0-24.9%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.5%1-112.6%1-26.9%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.1%2-18.9%2-24.9%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.8%3-14.2%3-22.3%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.0%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.0% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 27.5% — — —

Over 2.5 52.0% — — —

Over 3.5 29.5% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 13%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.4%

H 46% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 8.1%

#3 1–0 11.5%

#4 2–1 8.9%

#5 2–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Resistencia1.4

Tacuary1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.0% · O3.5 PROB 29.5%

Form & verdict PPG

RESISTENCIA · PPG 1.50

TACUARY · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Resistencia (H) 46.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tacuary (A) 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Resistencia face Tacuary in Paraguay - Division Intermedia on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Resistencia a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Tacuary 28%, so Resistencia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Resistencia and 1.1 for Tacuary (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Resistencia are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Tacuary.

Resistencia vs Tacuary Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Match Preview & Prediction

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