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Tacuary vs SOL DE America Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 13:00

Tacuary

PPG 0.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

SOL DE America

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-110.5%0-27.7%0-33.8%0-4+1.9%1 1-08.3%1-112.2%1-29.0%1-34.4%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.9%2-17.2%2-25.3%2-32.6%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.9%3-12.8%3-22.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.2% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 39.4% — — —

Over 2.5 53.9% — — —

Over 3.5 32.8% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.4%

A 39% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 0–0 7.1%

#4 0–1 10.5%

#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tacuary1.2

SOL DE America1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TACUARY · PPG 0.86

SOL DE AMERICA · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Tacuary (H) 36.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SOL DE America (A) 39.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tacuary face SOL DE America in Paraguay - Division Intermedia on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tacuary a 36% chance, the draw 24% and SOL DE America 39%, so SOL DE America are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Tacuary and 1.5 for SOL DE America (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tacuary are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 1.57 for SOL DE America.

Tacuary vs SOL DE America Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Match Preview & Prediction

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