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Guairena FC vs Atlético Tembetary Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Regular Season - 17 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00

Guairena FC

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atlético Tembetary

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.03 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-110.0%0-26.3%0-32.6%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.3%1-112.8%1-28.0%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.5%2-18.1%2-25.1%2-32.1%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.8%3-13.4%3-22.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.4%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.4% — — —

Draw 26.8% — — —

Away win 34.8% — — —

Over 2.5 53.0% — — —

Over 3.5 30.5% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 36.2% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 13%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.4%

H 38% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.1%

#3 1–0 10.3%

#4 0–1 10.0%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Guairena FC1.3

Atlético Tembetary1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.0% · O3.5 PROB 30.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GUAIRENA FC · PPG 1.62

ATLÉTICO TEMBETARY · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.03 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Guairena FC (H) 38.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Atlético Tembetary (A) 34.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Guairena FC face Atlético Tembetary in Paraguay - Division Intermedia on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Guairena FC a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Atlético Tembetary 35%, so Guairena FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Guairena FC and 1.2 for Atlético Tembetary (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Guairena FC are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.25 for Atlético Tembetary.

Guairena FC vs Atlético Tembetary Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Match Preview & Prediction

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