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12 de Junio VH vs 3 de Noviembre Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Regular Season - 16 ·Monday, July 27, 2026, 23:00

12 de Junio VH

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

3 de Noviembre

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 62.3% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-14.4%0-21.3%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-015.4%1-18.8%1-22.5%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.2%2-18.8%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.1%3-15.8%3-21.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-07.9%4+-14.5%4+-21.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.3% 71.4% 1.40 -12.8%

Draw 20.7% 25.6% 3.90 -11.6%

Away win 17.0% 15.4% 6.50 +6.3%

Over 2.5 53.5% 52.6% 1.90 +1.7%

Over 3.5 32.8% 34.2% 2.92 -4.2%

BTTS 48.5% 48.1% 2.08 +0.9%

Home O1.5 55.7% 63.7% 1.57 -12.6%

Away O1.5 19.1% 18.3% 5.45 +2.5%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.5%

H 62% / xG 2.0-0.6 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.2%

#2 1–0 15.4%

#3 1–1 8.8%

#4 3–0 10.1%

#5 0–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

12 de Junio VH2.0

3 de Noviembre0.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

12 DE JUNIO VH · PPG 2.00

3 DE NOVIEMBRE · PPG 0.14

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.41 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

12 de Junio VH (H) 62.3%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -12.8%

Draw 20.7%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -11.6%

3 de Noviembre (A) 17.0%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +6.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

12 de Junio VH face 3 de Noviembre in Paraguay - Division Intermedia on Monday, July 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives 12 de Junio VH a 62% chance, the draw 21% and 3 de Noviembre 17%, so 12 de Junio VH are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for 12 de Junio VH and 0.6 for 3 de Noviembre (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, 12 de Junio VH are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.14 for 3 de Noviembre. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +12.2%.

12 de Junio VH vs 3 de Noviembre Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Match Preview & Prediction

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