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Byåsen vs Spjelkavik Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00

Byåsen

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Spjelkavik

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-13.4%0-22.9%0-31.6%0-4+1.0%1 1-04.4%1-17.5%1-26.4%1-33.6%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.8%2-18.3%2-27.1%2-34.0%2-4+2.5%3 3-03.6%3-16.1%3-25.2%3-33.0%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-15.7%4+-24.9%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.5% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 28.3% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.9% — — —

BTTS 64.1% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob64.1%

H 50% / xG 2.2-1.7 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.5%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.4%

#5 3–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Byåsen2.2

Spjelkavik1.7

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BYÅSEN · PPG 2.00

SPJELKAVIK · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.51 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Byåsen (H) 49.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Spjelkavik (A) 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Byåsen face Spjelkavik in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Byåsen a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Spjelkavik 28%, so Byåsen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Byåsen and 1.7 for Spjelkavik (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Byåsen are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.17 for Spjelkavik.

Byåsen vs Spjelkavik Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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