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Deportivo Muñiz vs Atletico Atlas Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Regular Season - 22 ·Thursday, July 30, 2026, 18:00

Deportivo Muñiz

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atletico Atlas

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.1%0-115.7%0-25.8%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.1%1-112.7%1-24.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.0%2-15.2%2-21.9%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.9%3-11.4%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.6% — — —

Draw 31.7% — — —

Away win 27.7% — — —

Over 2.5 35.6% — — —

Over 3.5 18.5% — — —

BTTS 45.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 31%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 77%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob45.4%

H 41% / xG 0.8-0.7 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.1%

#2 1–0 17.1%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 0–1 15.7%

#5 2–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Muñiz0.8

Atletico Atlas0.7

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.6% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO MUÑIZ · PPG 1.00

ATLETICO ATLAS · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.07, combined xG 1.56 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Muñiz (H) 40.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Atletico Atlas (A) 27.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Muñiz face Atletico Atlas in Argentina - Primera C on Thursday, July 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Muñiz a 41% chance, the draw 32% and Atletico Atlas 28%, so Deportivo Muñiz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Deportivo Muñiz and 0.7 for Atletico Atlas (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Muñiz are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.20 for Atletico Atlas.

Deportivo Muñiz vs Atletico Atlas Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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