Today / Argentina - Primera C / Puerto Nuevo vs Sacachispas

Puerto Nuevo vs Sacachispas Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Regular Season - 22 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:00

Puerto Nuevo

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sacachispas

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.5%0-116.4%0-29.2%0-33.5%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.7%1-113.1%1-27.4%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-04.7%2-15.3%2-23.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.3%3-11.4%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.8% — — —

Draw 32.4% — — —

Away win 36.8% — — —

Over 2.5 37.3% — — —

Over 3.5 18.6% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 31%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 77%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.5%

D 32% / xG 0.8-1.1 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.5%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 0–1 16.4%

#4 1–0 11.7%

#5 0–2 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Puerto Nuevo0.8

Sacachispas1.1

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PUERTO NUEVO · PPG 1.00

SACACHISPAS · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.32, combined xG 1.93 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Puerto Nuevo (H) 30.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sacachispas (A) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Puerto Nuevo face Sacachispas in Argentina - Primera C on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puerto Nuevo a 31% chance, the draw 32% and Sacachispas 37%, so Sacachispas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Puerto Nuevo and 1.1 for Sacachispas (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puerto Nuevo are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.38 for Sacachispas.

Puerto Nuevo vs Sacachispas Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera C Predictions