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Deportivo Paraguayo vs Argentino Rosario Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Regular Season - 22 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:00

Deportivo Paraguayo

PPG 0.56 · HOME

UPCOMING

Argentino Rosario

PPG 0.44 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.9%0-115.9%0-28.5%0-33.0%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.5%1-113.3%1-27.1%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-05.2%2-15.6%2-23.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.5%3-11.6%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.8% — — —

Draw 29.3% — — —

Away win 33.8% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.8% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 31%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 77%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.7%

D 29% / xG 0.8-1.1 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.9%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1 15.9%

#4 1–0 12.5%

#5 0–2 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Paraguayo0.8

Argentino Rosario1.1

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO PARAGUAYO · PPG 0.56

ARGENTINO ROSARIO · PPG 0.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.23, combined xG 1.91 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Paraguayo (H) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Argentino Rosario (A) 33.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Paraguayo face Argentino Rosario in Argentina - Primera C on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Paraguayo a 37% chance, the draw 29% and Argentino Rosario 34%, so Deportivo Paraguayo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Deportivo Paraguayo and 1.1 for Argentino Rosario (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Paraguayo are averaging 0.56 points per game versus 0.44 for Argentino Rosario.

Deportivo Paraguayo vs Argentino Rosario Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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