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Leandro N. Alem vs Juventud Unida Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Regular Season - 22 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:00

Leandro N. Alem

PPG 1.64 · HOME

UPCOMING

Juventud Unida

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-18.7%0-26.0%0-32.7%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.8%1-112.1%1-28.3%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.1%2-18.4%2-25.7%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.8%3-13.9%3-22.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.8%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.2% — — —

Draw 25.7% — — —

Away win 33.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 41.0% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 31%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 77%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.4%

H 41% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 2–1 8.4%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 0–0 6.4%

#5 1–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Leandro N. Alem1.4

Juventud Unida1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

LEANDRO N. ALEM · PPG 1.64

JUVENTUD UNIDA · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Leandro N. Alem (H) 41.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Juventud Unida (A) 33.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Leandro N. Alem face Juventud Unida in Argentina - Primera C on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Leandro N. Alem a 41% chance, the draw 26% and Juventud Unida 33%, so Leandro N. Alem are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Leandro N. Alem and 1.4 for Juventud Unida (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Leandro N. Alem are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.33 for Juventud Unida.

Leandro N. Alem vs Juventud Unida Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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