Today / Argentina - Primera C / Claypole vs Lujan

Claypole vs Lujan Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Regular Season - 22 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:00

Claypole

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lujan

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-116.0%0-210.5%0-34.6%0-4+2.0%1 1-09.7%1-112.7%1-28.3%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-03.8%2-15.0%2-23.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.0%3-11.3%3-20.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.6% — — —

Draw 29.7% — — —

Away win 42.7% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.8% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 41.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 31%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 77%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.7%

A 43% / xG 0.8-1.3 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 12.3%

#3 0–1 16.0%

#4 0–2 10.5%

#5 1–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Claypole0.8

Lujan1.3

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

CLAYPOLE · PPG 1.25

LUJAN · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.52 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Claypole (H) 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lujan (A) 42.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Claypole face Lujan in Argentina - Primera C on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Claypole a 28% chance, the draw 30% and Lujan 43%, so Lujan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Claypole and 1.3 for Lujan (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Claypole are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 2.00 for Lujan.

Claypole vs Lujan Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera C Predictions