Today / Argentina - Primera C / Deportivo Español vs Leones de Rosario

Deportivo Español vs Leones de Rosario Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Regular Season - 22 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:00

Deportivo Español

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Leones de Rosario

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-022.3%0-113.9%0-24.3%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-019.6%1-112.2%1-23.8%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-08.6%2-15.4%2-21.7%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.5%3-11.6%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.8% — — —

Draw 34.9% — — —

Away win 24.3% — — —

Over 2.5 32.3% — — —

Over 3.5 13.1% — — —

BTTS 44.5% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 31%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 77%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob44.5%

H 41% / xG 0.9-0.6 / U2.5 32% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 22.3%

#2 1–0 19.6%

#3 1–1 12.2%

#4 0–1 13.9%

#5 2–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Español0.9

Leones de Rosario0.6

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 32.3% · O3.5 PROB 13.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO ESPAÑOL · PPG 1.60

LEONES DE ROSARIO · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.26, combined xG 1.50 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Español (H) 40.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Leones de Rosario (A) 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Español face Leones de Rosario in Argentina - Primera C on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Español a 41% chance, the draw 35% and Leones de Rosario 24%, so Deportivo Español are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Deportivo Español and 0.6 for Leones de Rosario (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Español are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.67 for Leones de Rosario.

Deportivo Español vs Leones de Rosario Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera C Predictions