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JJ Urquiza vs Berazategui Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Regular Season - 22 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:00

JJ Urquiza

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Berazategui

PPG 1.82 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-026.7%0-122.9%0-29.8%0-32.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.3%1-110.6%1-24.6%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-02.9%2-12.5%2-21.1%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.4%3-10.4%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.5% — — —

Draw 37.6% — — —

Away win 38.0% — — —

Over 2.5 31.1% — — —

Over 3.5 13.1% — — —

BTTS 44.5% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 21.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 31%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 77%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob44.5%

A 38% / xG 0.5-0.9 / U2.5 31% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 26.7%

#2 0–1 22.9%

#3 1–1 10.6%

#4 1–0 12.3%

#5 0–2 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

JJ Urquiza0.5

Berazategui0.9

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 31.1% · O3.5 PROB 13.1%

Form & verdict PPG

JJ URQUIZA · PPG 1.00

BERAZATEGUI · PPG 1.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.40, combined xG 1.32 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

JJ Urquiza (H) 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 37.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Berazategui (A) 38.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

JJ Urquiza face Berazategui in Argentina - Primera C on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives JJ Urquiza a 25% chance, the draw 38% and Berazategui 38%, so Berazategui are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for JJ Urquiza and 0.9 for Berazategui (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, JJ Urquiza are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.82 for Berazategui.

JJ Urquiza vs Berazategui Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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