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General Caballero vs Benjamín Aceval Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Regular Season - 17 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 20:00

General Caballero

PPG 2.38 · HOME

UPCOMING

Benjamín Aceval

PPG 2.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-15.0%0-24.4%0-32.6%0-4+1.7%1 1-05.0%1-18.9%1-28.0%1-34.7%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.5%2-18.0%2-27.2%2-34.2%2-4+2.8%3 3-02.7%3-14.8%3-24.3%3-32.5%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.3%4+-22.9%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.0% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 34.1% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.8% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 13%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.5%

H 44% / xG 1.8-1.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 2–1 8.0%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 3–1 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

General Caballero1.8

Benjamín Aceval1.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GENERAL CABALLERO · PPG 2.38

BENJAMÍN ACEVAL · PPG 2.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

General Caballero (H) 44.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Benjamín Aceval (A) 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

General Caballero face Benjamín Aceval in Paraguay - Division Intermedia on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives General Caballero a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Benjamín Aceval 34%, so General Caballero are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for General Caballero and 1.8 for Benjamín Aceval (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, General Caballero are averaging 2.38 points per game versus 2.12 for Benjamín Aceval.

General Caballero vs Benjamín Aceval Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Match Preview & Prediction

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