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Itapirense U20 vs São Bento U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:00

Itapirense U20

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

São Bento U20

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-13.6%0-23.3%0-32.0%0-4+1.4%1 1-04.1%1-17.5%1-26.9%1-34.2%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.3%2-17.9%2-27.3%2-34.4%2-4+3.1%3 3-03.0%3-15.6%3-25.1%3-33.1%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-14.8%4+-24.4%4+-32.7%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 30.2% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 46.5% — — —

BTTS 69.0% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 49.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -86.4%

Bet Hit 11%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob69.0%

H 48% / xG 2.1-1.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.5%

#2 2–1 7.9%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 1–2 6.9%

#5 3–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Itapirense U202.1

São Bento U201.8

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 46.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ITAPIRENSE U20 · PPG 2.00

SÃO BENTO U20 · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Itapirense U20 (H) 48.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

São Bento U20 (A) 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Itapirense U20 face São Bento U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Itapirense U20 a 48% chance, the draw 22% and São Bento U20 30%, so Itapirense U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Itapirense U20 and 1.8 for São Bento U20 (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Itapirense U20 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.33 for São Bento U20.

Itapirense U20 vs São Bento U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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