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Portuguesa U20 vs Ponte Preta U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:00

Portuguesa U20

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ponte Preta U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.70 for Home, form 1.33 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-13.0%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.9%1-17.5%1-22.8%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.1%2-19.2%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.0%3-17.5%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-011.0%4+-18.3%4+-23.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.1% — — —

Draw 20.2% — — —

Away win 15.7% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 39.9% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 61.8% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -86.4%

Bet Hit 11%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 64% / xG 2.5-0.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.1%

#2 3–0 10.0%

#3 2–1 9.2%

#4 1–0 9.9%

#5 1–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Portuguesa U202.5

Ponte Preta U200.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 39.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PORTUGUESA U20 · PPG 1.33

PONTE PRETA U20 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.70 for Home, form 1.33 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Portuguesa U20 (H) 64.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ponte Preta U20 (A) 15.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Portuguesa U20 face Ponte Preta U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Portuguesa U20 a 64% chance, the draw 20% and Ponte Preta U20 16%, so Portuguesa U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Portuguesa U20 and 0.8 for Ponte Preta U20 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Portuguesa U20 are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Ponte Preta U20.

Portuguesa U20 vs Ponte Preta U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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