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Desportivo Brasil U20 vs Aguai U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:00

Desportivo Brasil U20

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Aguai U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.90 for Home, form 3.00 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-12.8%0-20.8%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-012.3%1-16.7%1-21.8%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.0%2-18.2%2-22.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-012.2%3-16.7%3-21.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-013.3%4+-17.3%4+-22.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.2% — — —

Draw 18.5% — — —

Away win 10.3% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 37.3% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 60.4% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -86.4%

Bet Hit 11%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob48.7%

H 71% / xG 2.4-0.5 / O2.5 61% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.0%

#2 3–0 12.2%

#3 1–0 12.3%

#4 2–1 8.2%

#5 1–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Desportivo Brasil U202.4

Aguai U200.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

DESPORTIVO BRASIL U20 · PPG 3.00

AGUAI U20 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.90 for Home, form 3.00 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Desportivo Brasil U20 (H) 71.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Aguai U20 (A) 10.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Desportivo Brasil U20 face Aguai U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Desportivo Brasil U20 a 71% chance, the draw 19% and Aguai U20 10%, so Desportivo Brasil U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Desportivo Brasil U20 and 0.5 for Aguai U20 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Desportivo Brasil U20 are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Aguai U20.

Desportivo Brasil U20 vs Aguai U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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