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Bandeirante U20 vs Ibrachina U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:00

Bandeirante U20 logo
Bandeirante U20
PPG 1.33 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Ibrachina U20 logo
Ibrachina U20
PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -1.80 for Away, form 1.33 vs 3.00

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-110.9%0-213.4%0-311.0%0-4+12.1%1 1-02.9%1-17.2%1-28.8%1-37.2%1-4+7.9%2 2-01.0%2-12.4%2-22.9%2-32.4%2-4+2.6%3 3-00.2%3-10.5%3-20.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 12.6%
Draw 20.7%
Away win 66.7%
Over 2.5 61.2%
Over 3.5 37.3%
BTTS 49.2%
Home O1.5 32.6%
Away O1.5 67.8%

League track record

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%
O2.5 62%
BTTS 52%
Score Hit 52%
ROI -86.4%
Bet Hit 11%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob49.2%

A 67% / xG 0.7-2.5 / O2.5 61% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.4%
#2 0–3 11.0%
#3 0–1 10.9%
#4 1–2 8.8%
#5 1–1 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bandeirante U200.7
Ibrachina U202.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BANDEIRANTE U20 · PPG 1.33

IBRACHINA U20 · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.80 for Away, form 1.33 vs 3.00

Win probability 1X2

Bandeirante U20 (H) 12.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Ibrachina U20 (A) 66.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bandeirante U20 face Ibrachina U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bandeirante U20 a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Ibrachina U20 67%, so Ibrachina U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Bandeirante U20 and 2.5 for Ibrachina U20 (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bandeirante U20 are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 3.00 for Ibrachina U20.

PredictVantage

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