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Capivariano U20 vs Porto Football U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:00

Capivariano U20

PPG 2.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Porto Football U20

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.73 for Home, form 2.33 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.4%0-13.0%0-20.5%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-019.3%1-16.1%1-21.0%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-019.7%2-16.2%2-21.0%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.5%3-14.2%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-011.1%4+-13.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.5% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 9.1% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 44.5% — — —

Home O1.5 58.2% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -86.4%

Bet Hit 11%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob44.5%

H 68% / xG 2.0-0.3 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 19.7%

#2 1–0 19.3%

#3 3–0 13.5%

#4 0–0 9.4%

#5 1–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Capivariano U202.0

Porto Football U200.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CAPIVARIANO U20 · PPG 2.33

PORTO FOOTBALL U20 · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.73 for Home, form 2.33 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Capivariano U20 (H) 68.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Porto Football U20 (A) 9.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Capivariano U20 face Porto Football U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Capivariano U20 a 69% chance, the draw 22% and Porto Football U20 9%, so Capivariano U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Capivariano U20 and 0.3 for Porto Football U20 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Capivariano U20 are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.00 for Porto Football U20.

Capivariano U20 vs Porto Football U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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