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Jabaquara U20 vs Sertãozinho U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:00

Jabaquara U20

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sertãozinho U20

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-031.5%0-119.0%0-25.7%0-31.2%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.4%1-110.5%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-04.8%2-12.9%2-20.9%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.9%3-10.5%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.4% — — —

Draw 38.4% — — —

Away win 29.2% — — —

Over 2.5 27.6% — — —

Over 3.5 11.6% — — —

BTTS 35.9% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -86.4%

Bet Hit 11%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob35.9%

D 38% / xG 0.6-0.6 / U2.5 28% / NoBTTS 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 31.5%

#2 0–1 19.0%

#3 1–0 17.4%

#4 1–1 10.5%

#5 0–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jabaquara U200.6

Sertãozinho U200.6

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 27.6% · O3.5 PROB 11.6%

Form & verdict PPG

JABAQUARA U20 · PPG 1.33

SERTÃOZINHO U20 · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.05, combined xG 1.16 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Jabaquara U20 (H) 32.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 38.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sertãozinho U20 (A) 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jabaquara U20 face Sertãozinho U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jabaquara U20 a 32% chance, the draw 38% and Sertãozinho U20 29%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.6 for Jabaquara U20 and 0.6 for Sertãozinho U20 (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jabaquara U20 are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.33 for Sertãozinho U20.

Jabaquara U20 vs Sertãozinho U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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