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Centro Español vs Victoriano Arenas Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Regular Season - 22 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 18:00

Centro Español

PPG 1.56 · HOME

UPCOMING

Victoriano Arenas

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.9%0-111.3%0-24.6%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.1%1-113.1%1-25.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.3%2-17.6%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.6%3-12.9%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.1%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.4% — — —

Draw 28.9% — — —

Away win 25.8% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 24.3% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 31%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 77%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.7%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.9%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 1–0 16.1%

#4 0–1 11.3%

#5 2–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Centro Español1.2

Victoriano Arenas0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 24.3%

Form & verdict PPG

CENTRO ESPAÑOL · PPG 1.56

VICTORIANO ARENAS · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.34, combined xG 1.97 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Centro Español (H) 45.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Victoriano Arenas (A) 25.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Centro Español face Victoriano Arenas in Argentina - Primera C on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Centro Español a 45% chance, the draw 29% and Victoriano Arenas 26%, so Centro Español are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Centro Español and 0.8 for Victoriano Arenas (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Centro Español are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.00 for Victoriano Arenas.

Centro Español vs Victoriano Arenas Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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