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Barracas Central Res. vs Racing Club Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura - 1 ·Thursday, July 30, 2026, 18:00

Barracas Central Res.

PPG 1.22 · HOME

UPCOMING

Racing Club Res.

PPG 1.92 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-115.4%0-210.1%0-34.4%0-4+1.9%1 1-09.8%1-112.8%1-28.4%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-04.1%2-15.3%2-23.5%2-31.5%2-4+0.7%3 3-01.1%3-11.5%3-21.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.9% — — —

Draw 28.5% — — —

Away win 46.6% — — —

Over 2.5 45.7% — — —

Over 3.5 26.0% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 41.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.7%

A 47% / xG 0.8-1.3 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 11.7%

#3 0–1 15.4%

#4 0–2 10.1%

#5 1–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Barracas Central Res.0.8

Racing Club Res.1.3

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BARRACAS CENTRAL RES. · PPG 1.22

RACING CLUB RES. · PPG 1.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.48, combined xG 2.14 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Barracas Central Res. (H) 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Racing Club Res. (A) 46.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Barracas Central Res. face Racing Club Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Thursday, July 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Barracas Central Res. a 25% chance, the draw 28% and Racing Club Res. 47%, so Racing Club Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Barracas Central Res. and 1.3 for Racing Club Res. (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Barracas Central Res. are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.92 for Racing Club Res..

Barracas Central Res. vs Racing Club Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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