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Reyady Abaseya vs Tadamon Sour Prediction— Lebanon - Premier League

Relegation Quarterfinals - 1 ·Wednesday, July 29, 2026, 14:00

Reyady Abaseya

PPG 0.82 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tadamon Sour

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.8%0-113.2%0-24.9%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.6%1-113.0%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.7%2-16.4%2-22.4%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.8%3-12.1%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.9% — — —

Draw 30.4% — — —

Away win 24.7% — — —

Over 2.5 42.7% — — —

Over 3.5 22.8% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.7%

H 45% / xG 1.0-0.7 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.8%

#2 1–0 17.6%

#3 1–1 13.0%

#4 0–1 13.2%

#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Reyady Abaseya1.0

Tadamon Sour0.7

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

REYADY ABASEYA · PPG 0.82

TADAMON SOUR · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.25, combined xG 1.72 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Reyady Abaseya (H) 44.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tadamon Sour (A) 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Reyady Abaseya face Tadamon Sour in Lebanon - Premier League on Wednesday, July 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Reyady Abaseya a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Tadamon Sour 25%, so Reyady Abaseya are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Reyady Abaseya and 0.7 for Tadamon Sour (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Reyady Abaseya are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 1.00 for Tadamon Sour.

Reyady Abaseya vs Tadamon Sour Prediction— Lebanon - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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