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Racing vs Reyady Abaseya Prediction— Lebanon - Premier League

Relegation Quarterfinals - 1 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 13:00

Racing

PPG 0.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Reyady Abaseya

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.13 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-118.1%0-215.2%0-38.5%0-4+5.2%1 1-05.9%1-19.9%1-28.3%1-34.7%1-4+2.8%2 2-01.6%2-12.7%2-22.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.8%3 3-00.3%3-10.5%3-20.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.2% — — —

Draw 23.1% — — —

Away win 62.7% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob48.5%

A 63% / xG 0.5-1.7 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 18.1%

#2 0–2 15.2%

#3 0–0 10.8%

#4 1–1 9.9%

#5 0–3 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing0.5

Reyady Abaseya1.7

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING · PPG 0.00

REYADY ABASEYA · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.13 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Racing (H) 14.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Reyady Abaseya (A) 62.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing face Reyady Abaseya in Lebanon - Premier League on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing a 14% chance, the draw 23% and Reyady Abaseya 63%, so Reyady Abaseya are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Racing and 1.7 for Reyady Abaseya (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Reyady Abaseya.

Racing vs Reyady Abaseya Prediction— Lebanon - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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