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Racing vs Reyady Abaseya Prediction— Lebanon - Premier League

Relegation Quarterfinals - 1 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 13:00

Racing

PPG 0.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Reyady Abaseya

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.19 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.1%0-117.6%0-215.3%0-38.8%0-4+5.7%1 1-05.6%1-19.7%1-28.5%1-34.9%1-4+3.2%2 2-01.5%2-12.7%2-22.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.9%3 3-00.3%3-10.5%3-20.4%3-30.3%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.0% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 63.5% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 29.3% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob48.5%

A 64% / xG 0.6-1.7 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 17.6%

#2 0–2 15.3%

#3 0–0 10.1%

#4 1–1 9.7%

#5 0–3 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing0.6

Reyady Abaseya1.7

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 29.3%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING · PPG 0.00

REYADY ABASEYA · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.19 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Racing (H) 14.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Reyady Abaseya (A) 63.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing face Reyady Abaseya in Lebanon - Premier League on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing a 14% chance, the draw 23% and Reyady Abaseya 64%, so Reyady Abaseya are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Racing and 1.7 for Reyady Abaseya (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Reyady Abaseya.

Racing vs Reyady Abaseya Prediction— Lebanon - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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