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Raelingen vs Lillehammer Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 13:00

Raelingen

PPG 2.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lillehammer

PPG 2.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-11.8%0-22.8%0-33.0%0-4+5.3%1 1-01.1%1-13.5%1-25.6%1-36.0%1-4+10.7%2 2-01.1%2-13.5%2-25.7%2-36.0%2-4+10.7%3 3-00.7%3-12.4%3-23.8%3-34.0%3-4+7.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.9%4+-23.0%4+-33.2%4+-4+5.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.1% — — —

Draw 17.0% — — —

Away win 55.9% — — —

Over 2.5 79.6% — — —

Over 3.5 56.2% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 55.7% — — —

Away O1.5 68.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -56.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)3.2 BTTS prob69.5%

A 56% / xG 2.0-3.2 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–3 6.0%

#2 1–3 6.0%

#3 2–2 5.7%

#4 1–2 5.6%

#5 2–4 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Raelingen2.0

Lillehammer3.2

COMBINED 5.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.6% · O3.5 PROB 56.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RAELINGEN · PPG 2.33

LILLEHAMMER · PPG 2.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.19 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Raelingen (H) 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lillehammer (A) 55.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Raelingen face Lillehammer in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Raelingen a 27% chance, the draw 17% and Lillehammer 56%, so Lillehammer are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Raelingen and 3.2 for Lillehammer (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-3. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Raelingen are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 2.17 for Lillehammer.

Raelingen vs Lillehammer Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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