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Swit Skolwin vs Hutnik Krakow Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Poland - II Liga - East logo Poland flag Poland - II Liga - East Regular Season - 28 Stadion Miejski Skolwin· Szczecin Sunday, April 19, 2026 12:30
Swit Skolwin logo Swit Skolwin PPG 1.85
1-4 MISS
Hutnik Krakow logo Hutnik Krakow PPG 0.71
Home· +1.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Swit Skolwin face Hutnik Krakow in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Swit Skolwin a 41% chance, the draw 24% and Hutnik Krakow 35%, so Swit Skolwin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Swit Skolwin and 1.5 for Hutnik Krakow (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Swit Skolwin are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 0.71 for Hutnik Krakow. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +1.2%. This match finished 1-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.3%
Odds: 2.45 EV: +1.2%
Draw 23.9%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -28.3%
Away 34.9%
Odds: 2.50 EV: -12.8%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.5% Odds: —
Over 3.5 37.1% Odds: —
BTTS 61.6% Odds: 1.62 -0.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 1-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Swit Skolwin
1.61
Hutnik Krakow
1.47

Model Suggestion

BTTS -0.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -0.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+1.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 23.1%
Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.85) vs P(Home)=41.3%

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