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Swit Skolwin vs Hutnik Krakow Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 28 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:30

Swit Skolwin

PPG 1.85 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Hutnik Krakow

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.6% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-16.7%0-24.9%0-32.4%0-4+1.2%1 1-07.4%1-110.9%1-28.0%1-33.9%1-4+2.0%2 2-06.0%2-18.8%2-26.4%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.2%3-14.7%3-23.5%3-31.7%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.7%4+-22.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.3% 40.8% 2.45 +1.2%

Draw 23.9% 33.3% 3.00 -28.3%

Away win 34.9% 40.0% 2.50 -12.8%

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 37.1% — — —

BTTS 61.6% 61.7% 1.62 -0.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.6%

H 41% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 1–0 7.4%

#5 0–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Swit Skolwin1.6

Hutnik Krakow1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 37.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SWIT SKOLWIN · PPG 1.85

HUTNIK KRAKOW · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.85) vs P(Home)=41.3%

Win probability 1X2

Swit Skolwin (H) 41.3%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +1.2%

Draw 23.9%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -28.3%

Hutnik Krakow (A) 34.9%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -12.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Swit Skolwin face Hutnik Krakow in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Swit Skolwin a 41% chance, the draw 24% and Hutnik Krakow 35%, so Swit Skolwin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Swit Skolwin and 1.5 for Hutnik Krakow (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Swit Skolwin are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 0.71 for Hutnik Krakow. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +1.2%. This match finished 1-4.

Swit Skolwin vs Hutnik Krakow Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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