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Považská Bystrica vs Zlaté Moravce Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 15:00

Považská Bystrica

PPG 1.69 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Zlaté Moravce

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.5% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-15.5%0-23.6%0-31.6%0-4+0.7%1 1-07.9%1-110.3%1-26.7%1-32.9%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.3%2-19.5%2-26.2%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.5%3-15.9%3-23.8%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-14.2%4+-22.7%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.5% 44.4% 2.25 +13.6%

Draw 24.8% 29.0% 3.45 -8.7%

Away win 24.7% 36.4% 2.75 -19.2%

Over 2.5 56.5% 56.5% 1.77 0.0%

Over 3.5 36.5% 33.9% 2.95 +7.7%

BTTS 54.5% 62.5% 1.60 -12.8%

Home O1.5 54.6% 48.8% 2.05 +11.9%

Away O1.5 38.9% 42.6% 2.35 -8.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -16.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.5%

H 50% / xG 1.9-1.3 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–1✓ 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.3%

#4 1–2 6.7%

#5 1–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Považská Bystrica1.9

Zlaté Moravce1.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

POVAŽSKÁ BYSTRICA · PPG 1.69

ZLATÉ MORAVCE · PPG 1.73

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.55 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Považská Bystrica (H) 50.5%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +13.6%

Draw 24.8%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -8.7%

Zlaté Moravce (A) 24.7%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -19.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Považská Bystrica face Zlaté Moravce in Slovakia - 2. liga on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Považská Bystrica a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Zlaté Moravce 25%, so Považská Bystrica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Považská Bystrica and 1.3 for Zlaté Moravce (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Považská Bystrica are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.73 for Zlaté Moravce. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +31.8%. This match finished 2-1.

Považská Bystrica vs Zlaté Moravce Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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