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Liptovský Mikuláš vs Lokomotíva Zvolen Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 17:00

Liptovský Mikuláš

PPG 2.23 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lokomotíva Zvolen

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 58.9% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+6.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-14.5%0-21.6%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-012.8%1-19.3%1-23.4%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-013.1%2-19.5%2-23.4%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.9%3-16.5%3-22.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-07.3%4+-15.3%4+-21.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.9% 55.6% 1.80 +6.0%

Draw 24.8% 27.8% 3.60 -6.4%

Away win 16.3% 27.0% 3.70 -23.8%

Over 2.5 49.9% 56.5% 1.77 -11.7%

Over 3.5 30.0% 33.9% 2.95 -11.5%

BTTS 47.7% 59.9% 1.67 -20.3%

Home O1.5 57.9% 55.6% 1.80 +4.2%

Away O1.5 17.2% 34.5% 2.90 -30.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -16.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.7%

H 59% / xG 2.0-0.7 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.1%

#2 1–0 12.8%

#3 1–1 9.3%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 3–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Liptovský Mikuláš2.0

Lokomotíva Zvolen0.7

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 30.0%

Form & verdict PPG

LIPTOVSKÝ MIKULÁŠ · PPG 2.23

LOKOMOTÍVA ZVOLEN · PPG 1.21

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.32 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Liptovský Mikuláš (H) 58.9%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV +6.0%

Draw 24.8%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -6.4%

Lokomotíva Zvolen (A) 16.3%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -23.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Liptovský Mikuláš face Lokomotíva Zvolen in Slovakia - 2. liga on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Liptovský Mikuláš a 59% chance, the draw 25% and Lokomotíva Zvolen 16%, so Liptovský Mikuláš are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Liptovský Mikuláš and 0.7 for Lokomotíva Zvolen (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Liptovský Mikuláš are averaging 2.23 points per game versus 1.21 for Lokomotíva Zvolen. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +4.2%.

Liptovský Mikuláš vs Lokomotíva Zvolen Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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