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Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Petržalka Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Matchday 5 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 15:00

Lokomotíva Zvolen

PPG 1.39 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDLD

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Petržalka

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 53.5% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-111.1%0-28.4%0-34.2%0-4+2.2%1 1-08.1%1-112.2%1-29.2%1-34.7%1-4+2.5%2 2-04.4%2-16.7%2-25.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.4%3 3-01.6%3-12.5%3-21.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.4% 27.0% 3.70 +3.0%

Draw 24.7% 29.4% 3.40 -9.6%

Away win 46.9% 54.1% 1.85 -13.2%

Over 2.5 53.5% 54.1% 1.85 -1.0%

Over 3.5 31.5% 31.3% 3.20 +0.8%

BTTS 53.8% 58.8% 1.70 -8.5%

Home O1.5 30.9% 33.3% 3.00 -7.3%

Away O1.5 45.4% 52.6% 1.90 -13.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob53.8%

A 47% / xG 1.1-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 0–1✓ 11.1%

#3 1–2 9.2%

#4 0–2 8.4%

#5 0–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lokomotíva Zvolen1.1

Petržalka1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LOKOMOTÍVA ZVOLEN · PPG 1.39

PETRŽALKA · PPG 1.73

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.41 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Lokomotíva Zvolen (H) 28.4%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +3.0%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -9.6%

Petržalka (A) 46.9%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -13.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lokomotíva Zvolen face Petržalka in Slovakia - 2. liga on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lokomotíva Zvolen a 28% chance, the draw 25% and Petržalka 47%, so Petržalka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Lokomotíva Zvolen and 1.5 for Petržalka (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lokomotíva Zvolen are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 1.73 for Petržalka. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +5.9%. This match finished 0-1.

Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Petržalka Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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