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Petržalka vs Liptovský Mikuláš Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 08:30

Petržalka

PPG 2.22 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWW

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Liptovský Mikuláš

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDDLL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 59.6% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-14.6%0-22.2%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.7%1-19.5%1-24.7%1-31.5%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.1%2-19.9%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.0%3-16.9%3-23.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-05.9%4+-15.9%4+-22.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.6% 54.1% 1.85 +4.7%

Draw 21.9% 27.8% 3.60 -12.7%

Away win 21.4% 28.6% 3.50 -15.1%

Over 2.5 59.7% 60.6% 1.65 -1.5%

Over 3.5 36.7% 38.5% 2.60 -4.6%

BTTS 54.6% 64.5% 1.55 -15.4%

Home O1.5 59.6% 57.8% 1.73 +3.1%

Away O1.5 29.1% 39.2% 2.55 -15.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.6%

H 57% / xG 2.1-1.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–0✓ 10.1%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 9.7%

#5 3–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Petržalka2.1

Liptovský Mikuláš1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PETRŽALKA · PPG 2.22

LIPTOVSKÝ MIKULÁŠ · PPG 1.18

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.10 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Petržalka (H) 56.6%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV +4.7%

Draw 21.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -12.7%

Liptovský Mikuláš (A) 21.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -15.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Petržalka face Liptovský Mikuláš in Slovakia - 2. liga on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Petržalka a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Liptovský Mikuláš 21%, so Petržalka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Petržalka and 1.0 for Liptovský Mikuláš (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Petržalka are averaging 2.22 points per game versus 1.18 for Liptovský Mikuláš. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +19.5%. This match finished 2-0.

Petržalka vs Liptovský Mikuláš Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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