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Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom vs Slovan Bratislava II Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:30

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

PPG 1.40 · HOME

LAST 5

DDWDW

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Slovan Bratislava II

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWDD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.1% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6% — a clear edge.

+17.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-13.5%0-22.2%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-06.4%1-18.1%1-25.1%1-32.2%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.5%2-19.4%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.8%3-17.3%3-24.6%3-32.0%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-17.4%4+-24.7%4+-32.0%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.2% 51.3% 1.95 +5.7%

Draw 22.2% 28.2% 3.55 -12.7%

Away win 23.6% 30.8% 3.25 -14.0%

Over 2.5 65.0% 60.6% 1.65 +7.2%

Over 3.5 43.5% 38.5% 2.60 +13.1%

BTTS 63.1% 65.4% 1.53 -3.5%

Home O1.5 65.1% 55.6% 1.80 +17.2%

Away O1.5 37.3% 40.8% 2.45 -8.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.1%

H 54% / xG 2.3-1.3 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.1%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 7.5%

#4 3–1 7.3%

#5 1–2 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom2.3

Slovan Bratislava II1.3

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BANÍK LEHOTA P.VTÁČNIKOM · PPG 1.40

SLOVAN BRATISLAVA II · PPG 0.94

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.06 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom (H) 54.2%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV +5.7%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -12.7%

Slovan Bratislava II (A) 23.6%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -14.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom face Slovan Bratislava II in Slovakia - 2. liga on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Slovan Bratislava II 24%, so Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom and 1.3 for Slovan Bratislava II (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.94 for Slovan Bratislava II. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +24.8%. This match finished 2-2.

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom vs Slovan Bratislava II Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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