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Muglaspor vs Sanliurfaspor Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Turkey - 2. Lig logo Turkey flag Turkey - 2. Lig Beyaz - 37 Muğla Atatürk Stadyumu· Muğla Sunday, April 19, 2026 12:00
Muglaspor logo Muglaspor PPG 2.18
0-0 HIT CS2
Sanliurfaspor logo Sanliurfaspor PPG 1.82
Home· +18.1% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Muglaspor face Sanliurfaspor in Turkey - 2. Lig on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Muglaspor a 53% chance, the draw 28% and Sanliurfaspor 19%, so Muglaspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Muglaspor and 0.7 for Sanliurfaspor (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Muglaspor are averaging 2.18 points per game versus 1.82 for Sanliurfaspor. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +18.1%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.5%
Odds: 2.25 EV: +18.1%
Draw 28.1%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -12.9%
Away 19.4%
Odds: 2.85 EV: -44.7%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 34.0% Odds: 2.00 -32.0%
Over 3.5 15.4% Odds: —
BTTS 37.5% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Muglaspor
1.36
Sanliurfaspor
0.70

Model Suggestion

Home +18.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.18) > Away GOOD (1.82)

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