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Ankaraspor vs Karaman Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Turkey - 2. Lig logo Turkey flag Turkey - 2. Lig Beyaz - 37 15 Temmuz Milli Birlik Stadyumu· Ankara Sunday, April 19, 2026 12:00
Ankaraspor logo Ankaraspor PPG 1.53
5-4 MISS
Karaman logo Karaman PPG 0.47
Home· -7.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ankaraspor face Karaman in Turkey - 2. Lig on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ankaraspor a 84% chance, the draw 11% and Karaman 5%, so Ankaraspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Ankaraspor and 0.7 for Karaman (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ankaraspor are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 0.47 for Karaman. This match finished 5-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 84.3%
Odds: 1.10 EV: -7.3%
Draw 10.6%
Odds: 6.60 EV: -30.0%
Away 5.1%
Odds: 16.00 EV: -18.4%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 71.1% Odds: —
Over 3.5 50.2% Odds: 1.73 -13.2%
BTTS 45.6% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 4-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Ankaraspor
3.03
Karaman
0.65

Model Suggestion

Home -7.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-7.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.53), Away POOR (0.47) - Strong consensus

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