Today / Turkey - 2. Lig / Ankaraspor vs Karaman

Ankaraspor vs Karaman Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Beyaz - 37 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:00

Ankaraspor

PPG 1.53 · HOME

5 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Karaman

PPG 0.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 84.3% vs bookmaker-implied 90.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-11.6%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-07.6%1-15.0%1-21.6%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.6%2-17.5%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.7%3-17.6%3-22.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-018.7%4+-112.2%4+-24.0%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 84.3% 90.9% 1.10 -7.3%

Draw 10.6% 15.2% 6.60 -30.0%

Away win 5.1% 6.3% 16.00 -18.4%

Over 2.5 71.1% — — —

Over 3.5 50.2% 57.8% 1.73 -13.2%

BTTS 45.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-4

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob45.6%

H 84% / xG 3.0-0.7 / O2.5 71% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 11.7%

#2 2–0 11.6%

#3 4–0 8.8%

#4 1–0 7.6%

#5 3–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ankaraspor3.0

Karaman0.7

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.1% · O3.5 PROB 50.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ANKARASPOR · PPG 1.53

KARAMAN · PPG 0.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.53), Away POOR (0.47) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Ankaraspor (H) 84.3%

ODDS 1.10 · IMPLIED 90.9% EV -7.3%

Draw 10.6%

ODDS 6.60 · IMPLIED 15.2% EV -30.0%

Karaman (A) 5.1%

ODDS 16.00 · IMPLIED 6.3% EV -18.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ankaraspor face Karaman in Turkey - 2. Lig on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ankaraspor a 84% chance, the draw 11% and Karaman 5%, so Ankaraspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Ankaraspor and 0.7 for Karaman (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ankaraspor are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 0.47 for Karaman. This match finished 5-4.

Ankaraspor vs Karaman Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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