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Beykoz Anadolu vs Karacabey Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Beyaz - 37 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:00

Beykoz Anadolu

PPG 0.76 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Karacabey

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: POOR (0.76) vs Away AVERAGE (1.12)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-110.1%0-28.6%0-34.9%0-4+3.0%1 1-06.7%1-111.3%1-29.6%1-35.5%1-4+3.4%2 2-03.7%2-16.4%2-25.4%2-33.1%2-4+1.9%3 3-01.4%3-12.4%3-22.0%3-31.1%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.8%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.1% 57.1% 1.75 -56.1%

Draw 24.0% 27.0% 3.70 -11.2%

Away win 50.9% 28.2% 3.55 +80.7%

Over 2.5 53.6% 60.6% 1.65 -11.6%

Over 3.5 31.3% — — —

BTTS 55.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob55.1%

A 51% / xG 1.1-1.7 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 0–1 10.1%

#3 1–2 9.6%

#4 0–2 8.6%

#5 1–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Beykoz Anadolu1.1

Karacabey1.7

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.6% · O3.5 PROB 31.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BEYKOZ ANADOLU · PPG 0.76

KARACABEY · PPG 1.12

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.76) vs Away AVERAGE (1.12)

Win probability 1X2

Beykoz Anadolu (H) 25.1%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -56.1%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -11.2%

Karacabey (A) 50.9%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +80.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Beykoz Anadolu face Karacabey in Turkey - 2. Lig on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Beykoz Anadolu a 25% chance, the draw 24% and Karacabey 51%, so Karacabey are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Beykoz Anadolu and 1.7 for Karacabey (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Beykoz Anadolu are averaging 0.76 points per game versus 1.12 for Karacabey. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +80.7%. This match finished 2-2.

Beykoz Anadolu vs Karacabey Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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