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Kepezspor vs Altinordu Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Beyaz - 37 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:00

Kepezspor

PPG 0.53 · HOME

2 – 4

FULL TIME

Altinordu

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-112.7%0-26.8%0-32.5%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.5%1-113.5%1-27.3%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.6%2-17.2%2-23.9%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.4%3-12.5%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.8% 19.6% 5.10 +77.5%

Draw 29.6% 27.4% 3.65 +8.0%

Away win 35.6% 65.4% 1.53 -45.5%

Over 2.5 36.2% 57.8% 1.73 -37.4%

Over 3.5 16.9% — — —

BTTS 43.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob43.2%

D 30% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–1 12.7%

#3 1–0 12.5%

#4 0–0 11.7%

#5 1–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kepezspor1.1

Altinordu1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.2% · O3.5 PROB 16.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KEPEZSPOR · PPG 0.53

ALTINORDU · PPG 0.88

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.53) vs Away POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

Kepezspor (H) 34.8%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV +77.5%

Draw 29.6%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +8.0%

Altinordu (A) 35.6%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -45.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kepezspor face Altinordu in Turkey - 2. Lig on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kepezspor a 35% chance, the draw 30% and Altinordu 36%, so Altinordu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kepezspor and 1.1 for Altinordu (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kepezspor are averaging 0.53 points per game versus 0.88 for Altinordu. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +77.5%. This match finished 2-4.

Kepezspor vs Altinordu Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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