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B36 Torshavn vs HB Torshavn Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, June 21, 2026, 14:00

B36 Torshavn

PPG 2.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

HB Torshavn

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.1% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-14.3%0-21.7%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.4%1-19.2%1-23.7%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.1%2-19.7%2-23.9%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.5%3-16.8%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-07.4%4+-15.9%4+-22.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 57.2% 1.77 +1.2%

Draw 22.5% 3.60 -11.4%

Away win 20.3% 3.85 -13.1%

Over 2.5 61.1% 1.70 +3.9%

Over 3.5 37.0% 2.75 +1.8%

BTTS 52.6% 1.62 -14.8%

Win probability 1X2

B36 Torshavn (H) 57.2%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV +1.2%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -11.4%

HB Torshavn (A) 20.3%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -13.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 29%

Score Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 57% / xG 2.1-0.8 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.1%

#2 1–1 9.2%

#3 1–0 11.4%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 3–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B36 Torshavn2.1

HB Torshavn0.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.1% · O3.5 PROB 37.0%

Form & verdict PPG

B36 TORSHAVN · PPG 2.33

HB TORSHAVN · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=57.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

B36 Torshavn face HB Torshavn in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B36 Torshavn a 57% chance, the draw 23% and HB Torshavn 20%, so B36 Torshavn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for B36 Torshavn and 0.8 for HB Torshavn (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B36 Torshavn are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.29 for HB Torshavn. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +16.7%.

B36 Torshavn vs HB Torshavn Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Match Preview & Prediction

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