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Stabaek vs Bryne Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 14:00

Stabaek

PPG 2.40 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Bryne

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-13.7%0-21.9%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.2%1-18.5%1-24.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.5%2-19.8%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.2%3-17.5%3-23.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-07.1%4+-17.3%4+-23.8%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.4% 57.8% 1.73 -0.7%

Draw 22.4% 25.3% 3.95 -6.9%

Away win 20.1% 27.0% 3.70 -15.4%

Over 2.5 64.1% 70.4% 1.42 -9.0%

Over 3.5 39.8% 48.8% 2.05 -18.4%

BTTS 60.2% 70.4% 1.42 -14.5%

Home O1.5 60.6% 66.7% 1.50 -9.1%

Away O1.5 35.1% 43.5% 2.30 -19.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 73 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 23%

ROI 23.4%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob60.2%

H 57% / xG 2.3-1.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0✓ 9.5%

#4 3–1 7.5%

#5 3–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stabaek2.3

Bryne1.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

STABAEK · PPG 2.40

BRYNE · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=57.4%

Win probability 1X2

Stabaek (H) 57.4%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -0.7%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -6.9%

Bryne (A) 20.1%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -15.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stabaek face Bryne in Norway - 1. Division on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stabaek a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Bryne 20%, so Stabaek are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Stabaek and 1.0 for Bryne (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stabaek are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.00 for Bryne. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +7.5%. This match finished 2-0.

Stabaek vs Bryne Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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