Today / Norway - 1. Division Women / Odd W vs Grei W

Odd W vs Grei W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Matchday 13 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 12:00

Odd W logo
Odd W
PPG 1.50 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Grei W logo
Grei W
PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-15.3%0-24.4%0-32.4%0-4+1.5%1 1-05.6%1-19.4%1-27.9%1-34.4%1-4+2.7%2 2-05.0%2-18.4%2-27.0%2-33.9%2-4+2.4%3 3-03.0%3-15.0%3-24.2%3-32.3%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-13.4%4+-22.8%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.9%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 44.3%
Draw 22.0%
Away win 33.7%
Over 2.5 64.2%
Over 3.5 43.0%
BTTS 64.3%
Home O1.5 49.2%
Away O1.5 48.2%

League track record

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%
O2.5 50%
BTTS 58%
Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob64.3%

H 44% / xG 1.8-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%
#2 2–1 8.4%
#3 1–2 7.9%
#4 2–2 7.0%
#5 2–0 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odd W1.8
Grei W1.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ODD W · PPG 1.50

GREI W · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap +0.12 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Odd W (H) 44.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Grei W (A) 33.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Odd W face Grei W in Norway - 1. Division Women on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odd W a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Grei W 34%, so Odd W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Odd W and 1.7 for Grei W (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odd W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.40 for Grei W. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org