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Start W vs Frigg Oslo FK W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Matchday 13 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 11:00

Start W

PPG 2.67 · HOME

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Frigg Oslo FK W

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.48 for Home, form 2.67 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-11.5%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-09.6%1-14.6%1-21.1%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-014.1%2-16.7%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.9%3-16.6%3-21.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-021.3%4+-110.1%4+-22.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 75.0% — — —

Draw 16.6% — — —

Away win 8.4% — — —

Over 2.5 64.2% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob48.4%

H 75% / xG 3.0-0.5 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.1%

#2 3–0 13.9%

#3 4–0 10.3%

#4 1–0 9.6%

#5 2–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Start W3.0

Frigg Oslo FK W0.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

START W · PPG 2.67

FRIGG OSLO FK W · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.48 for Home, form 2.67 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Start W (H) 75.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Frigg Oslo FK W (A) 8.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Start W face Frigg Oslo FK W in Norway - 1. Division Women on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Start W a 75% chance, the draw 17% and Frigg Oslo FK W 8%, so Start W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Start W and 0.5 for Frigg Oslo FK W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Start W are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 0.00 for Frigg Oslo FK W. This match finished 5-0.

Start W vs Frigg Oslo FK W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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