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Odd vs Hodd Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Matchday 12 ·Sunday, June 21, 2026, 14:00

Odd

PPG 2.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hodd

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.2% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-14.5%0-22.2%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.7%1-19.4%1-24.6%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.2%2-19.9%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.2%3-17.0%3-23.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-06.1%4+-15.9%4+-22.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.2% 71.4% 1.40 -19.9%

Draw 22.5% 22.7% 4.40 -0.6%

Away win 20.3% 16.1% 6.20 +15.5%

Over 2.5 61.2% 69.0% 1.45 -11.3%

Over 3.5 39.1% 46.5% 2.15 -15.9%

BTTS 55.9% 63.7% 1.57 -12.2%

Home O1.5 60.3% 73.5% 1.36 -18.0%

Away O1.5 30.4% 30.8% 3.25 -1.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 73 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 23%

ROI 23.4%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.9%

H 57% / xG 2.1-1.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–0 10.2%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 9.7%

#5 3–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odd2.1

Hodd1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ODD · PPG 2.17

HODD · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.17) vs P(Home)=57.2%

Win probability 1X2

Odd (H) 57.2%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -19.9%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -0.6%

Hodd (A) 20.3%

ODDS 6.20 · IMPLIED 16.1% EV +15.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Odd face Hodd in Norway - 1. Division on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odd a 57% chance, the draw 23% and Hodd 20%, so Odd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Odd and 1.0 for Hodd (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odd are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 0.80 for Hodd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +15.5%.

Odd vs Hodd Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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