Today / Odd vs Hodd

Odd vs Hodd Prediction

Sunday, June 21, 2026

Odd
PPG 2.17 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Hodd
PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-14.5%0-22.2%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.7%1-19.4%1-24.6%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.2%2-19.9%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.2%3-17.0%3-23.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-06.1%4+-15.9%4+-22.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 57.2%
Draw 22.5%
Away win 20.3%
Over 2.5 61.2%
Over 3.5 39.1%
BTTS 55.9%

Win probability 1X2

Odd (H) 57.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Hodd (A) 20.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.9%

H 57% / xG 2.1-1.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%
#2 2–0 10.2%
#3 2–1 9.9%
#4 1–0 9.7%
#5 3–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odd2.1
Hodd1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ODD · PPG 2.17

HODD · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.17) vs P(Home)=57.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Odd face Hodd on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odd a 57% chance, the draw 23% and Hodd 20%, so Odd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Odd and 1.0 for Hodd (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odd are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 0.80 for Hodd.

PredictVantage

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