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Portugal - Primeira Liga
Regular Season - 30
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos· Barcelos
Saturday, April 18, 2026
19:30
Gil Vicente
PPG 1.93
0-1
MISS
Guimaraes
PPG 0.79
Home· +51.6%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
71.5%
Odds: 2.12
EV: +51.6%
Draw
17.8%
Odds: 3.30
EV: -41.3%
Away
10.7%
Odds: 3.35
EV: -64.2%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
56.3%
Odds: 2.10
+18.2%
Over 3.5
33.9%
Odds: 3.80
+28.8%
BTTS
45.9%
Odds: 1.85
-15.1%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
3-0
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
1-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Gil Vicente
2.22
Guimaraes
0.72
Model Suggestion
Home
+51.6%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME
Home team in GOOD form (1.93), Away POOR (0.79) - Strong consensus