Thun vs FC Basel Prediction & Tips

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Switzerland - Super League Regular Season - 33 Stockhorn Arena· Thun Saturday, April 18, 2026 18:30

Thun PPG 2.19

3-1 HIT CS5

FC Basel PPG 1.63

Home· +13.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.1%

Odds: 1.85 EV: +13.0%

Draw 19.7%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -19.2%

Away 19.2%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -31.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.5% Odds: 1.40 -6.9%

Over 3.5 44.7% Odds: 2.00 -10.6%

BTTS 62.1% Odds: 1.38 -14.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Thun

2.24

FC Basel

1.19

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -6.9% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-6.9%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5/Under 68%

BTTS/No 58%

Score Hit 26%

ROI 9.3%

Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.19) > Away GOOD (1.63)