Today / Switzerland - Super League / Servette FC vs FC ST. Gallen

Servette FC vs FC ST. Gallen Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 12:00

Servette FC

PPG 1.42 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWDL

UPCOMING

FC ST. Gallen

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDLL

// Model verdict

BTTS 70% chance

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-16.7%0-24.9%0-32.4%0-4+1.2%1 1-07.4%1-110.9%1-28.0%1-33.9%1-4+2.0%2 2-06.0%2-18.8%2-26.4%2-33.1%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.2%3-14.7%3-23.5%3-31.7%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.7%4+-22.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.2% 47.6% 2.10 -9.3%

Draw 23.3% 27.8% 3.60 -9.7%

Away win 33.5% 34.5% 2.90 -2.9%

Over 2.5 60.4% 71.4% 1.40 -15.4%

Over 3.5 37.3% 52.4% 1.91 -28.8%

BTTS 61.5% 73.5% 1.36 -16.4%

Home O1.5 48.1% 59.9% 1.67 -19.7%

Away O1.5 42.2% 52.4% 1.91 -19.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -5.5%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.5%

H 43% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 2–0 6.0%

#5 1–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Servette FC1.6

FC ST. Gallen1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SERVETTE FC · PPG 1.42

FC ST. GALLEN · PPG 1.71

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.15 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Servette FC (H) 43.2%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -9.3%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -9.7%

FC ST. Gallen (A) 33.5%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -2.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Servette FC face FC ST. Gallen in Switzerland - Super League on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Servette FC a 43% chance, the draw 23% and FC ST. Gallen 34%, so Servette FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Servette FC and 1.5 for FC ST. Gallen (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Servette FC are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.71 for FC ST. Gallen.

Servette FC vs FC ST. Gallen Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Switzerland - Super League Predictions